Iron Ore And Metallurgical Coal Are Counterintuitively Moving In Wildly Diverging Directions
In one of the most surprising steel-related commodities markets ever, the price of one key ingredient in the steel-making process, iron ore, is collapsing, while the price of another key element, metallurgical coal, is hitting record levels. In rough terms, about 1.2 tonnes of iron ore and 0.5 tonnes of metallurgical coal are needed to produce one tonne of crude steel. China’s government has targeted the steel industry, which is one of the biggest polluters in the country, reportedly accounting for 10-20% of carbon emissions in China, to reduce overall carbon emissions. Remarkably, the government now wants steel production in the country to be flat to down for the full year 2021, after rising around 12% in the first half of 2021. This of course requires a marked reduction in steelmaking in 2H 2021. (It has the side “benefit” of slowing China’s economy — a goal of the county’s leadership after strong government stimulus-fueled growth put in place to combat COVID-19.) In ...